Return to MU Mathematics Home Page
CONFERENCE ON MATHEMATICAL FINANCE
May 19, 20, and 21, 2000
University of Missouri - Columbia

Allanus Tsoi (The Hong Kong University of Science & Technology)

Sunday, May 21 11:15-12:15

Small Noise Hidden Markov Filtering of the Volatility of a Risky Asset

Abstract: We consider a risky asset whose price process follows a log-normal model with stochastic volatility. The volatility evolves according to a finite state Markov chain. The original observation process is this price process. We transform the process by introducing small noise so that the usual hidden Markov filtering techniques can be applied. The small noise coefficient is estimated by the quadratic variation technique. We consider the Zakai form of various related filtering processes which play important roles in the expectation maximization (EM) estimation of the transition intensities of the Markov chain. We consider a robust form of the filtering processes so that no stochastic integral appears in the equations.


back to previous page